Share price and priced-in risk

Basic information about the valuation of a share and how various risks influence this price. Let's start with "Hooray, this is earth-shattering!"

Let's assume that someone, for example me, has an earth-shattering idea and thinks that this idea is worth €5,000,000,000,000. In slightly shorter terms, 5 trillion or 5,000 billion. So, let's divide that up into 5 million shares and each share is worth a million. The chances of winning 2 Lotto 6s in a row are probably roughly equivalent to the chance of getting rid of a single share at that price. This is because even the best ideas have risks when it comes to implementation. Tesla faced bankruptcy several times, in 2008 during the global economic crisis and in 2017 in production hell when the Model 3 production ramp-up was too slow. What would have happened to SpaceX if Elon Musk hadn't had any money from the PayPal sale and had to finance SpaceX with investors? Let's imagine an AGM in August 2008: 3 rockets have exploded while trying to reach orbit, the capital has been used up. Elon: I now need US$ 20 million for a fourth attempt. There would certainly have been an interjection: "At least the man has a sense of humor".

Even big ideas start small
March 2026 is about the foundation of GEMINI next Generation Zrt. in Hungary. The aim is to raise €20,000 to €40,000 as share capital. When pricing the shares: the biggest risk is not being able to raise the capital to build the prototype. With the best will in the world, I could not have imagined in 2022 that this would be a very significant risk. So for €120 there are 30 shares for the shareholder and 10 for the Zrt. But what happens if someone suddenly wants to invest €400,000? With that amount of capital, the risk of "not being able to raise the capital for the prototype" would suddenly no longer exist. There would still be all the other risks, but the main risk would be eliminated. There would then be personal negotiations that could end somewhere around € 360 for 30 shares, € 400,000 for 33,333 shares. Without this price correction, the new investor would gain a disproportionately large influence and the shares of the existing shareholders would be diluted too much.

As long as it is not traded on the stock exchange, the CEO determines the price
As in the example above: the share price must be in line with market realities. Pricing is a balancing act between the interests of existing shareholders and capital requirements.

GEMINI next Generation AG (Inc.) shares
	Let's make the world a better place! Your investment and our ideas as an unbeatable team to give humanity a future well worth living.

Who are we? Our shareholders
	Who has invested with us? All people who want to have a positive impact on our future. Each in their own way and with the purchase of shares for our project.

Join in and become a shareholder
	Become part of a great vision. I can only promise you one thing: my full commitment to making the project a success. test

Share price of the GEMINI next Generation share
	The share price is determined directly by milestones towards the realization of a saleable product. The share price is thus constantly adjusted.

The 3 big Austria problems for a start-up company
	If someone founds a start-up and it is supported by 50 people, Austria does not have a suitable legal form for this project.

Hungary
	Germany will have 50 to 70 GWh of battery production in 2026. Hungary, on the other hand, with 1⁄9 of the population, will have 80 to 100 GWh. Trends were recognized in good time and consistently implemented.

Perception of an innovation
	Different countries, different cultures and how these influence the perception of a project and thus the search for investors.